Here's an interesting chart, pertaining to the year 2000 U.S. elections:
What it says is this:
>Huh? 27%? You're kidding, right? That got me to thinking of a better way which would give the position of head-of-state
to the candidate with the most votes (not just 27%).Here goes: - Assume that the total number of people (nation-wide) that can vote is
**P** (example: P = 100,000,000 voters in the country) - We divide the country into
**N***equally populated*electoral units each with a prospective government repesentative (ex: N = 200 units ... so 200 elected officials - one from each unit) - Each unit has precisely
**P**/**N**people that can vote (ex: P/N = 500,000 voters per unit. They elect the local government representative.) - The party with the greatest number of elected officials forms the new government.
- Assume that, in precisely half of the
**N**units (ex: that's N/2 = 100 units),**Sally**'s party receives 1 greater than 50% of these**P**/**N**votes. Then**Sally**receives (1/2)(**P**/**N**) + 1 votes for her party. (ex: 250,001 votes in each of N/2 = 100 units) - This
*slim majority*gives**Sally**'s party the government representative from that unit. This plurality in half the electoral units then gives**Sally**half of the**N**representatives, namely**N**/2 (ex: N/2 = elected 100 reps) - The total number of votes received by
**Sally**in the**N**/2 electoral units (where she won by the*slim majority*) is (Number of Units)(Votes per Unit) = (**N**/2){(1/2)(**P**/**N**)+1} =**P**/4 +**N**/2 ex: (100 units)(250,001 votes/unit) = 25,000,100 votes - To get the percentage of the total available votes (total votes =
**P**) we divide by**P**and get 1/4 +**N**/2**P**. ex: (25,000,100)/(100,000,000) = .250001 or 25.0001%
>Who's Sally?
In general, since
Conclusion?Let's not scoff at: It could happen (almost) anywhere ... DEMOCRATICALLY SPEAKING |