2015 predictions contest

Discuss your favourite picks, broker, and trading or investment style.
schmuck
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1706
Joined: 21 Sep 2006 20:06
Location: Vancouver area

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by schmuck »

DOW: 19,600
TSX: 15,300
Gold: 1,250
OIL: 66
CAD: 84
robertro
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 91
Joined: 07 Apr 2009 21:41

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by robertro »

Like others above, I've spent some decades doing various forecasts, ranging from wet-finger estimates to parametric cases based on statistical analysis of large volumes of rolled-up atomic data. Just like this fun contest, they've been useful in forcing individuals and organizations to commit to some baseline and to review assumptions. And just like this contest, they have sometimes proven to be humbling experiences, with some learning attached....so in that spirit, onward with my 2015 numbers!

Dow: 16100
TSX: 14300
Gold: 1230
Oil: 74
Cad: 0.79
squid
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 323
Joined: 18 Jun 2008 14:31

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by squid »

DOW: 20107
TSX: 17251
GOLD: 1319
OIL: 74
CAD: .87

A good exercise last year to convince me to stay the passive ETF course! Thanks for the amusement.
User avatar
parvus
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 10014
Joined: 20 Feb 2005 16:09
Location: Waiting for the real estate meltdown on Rua Açores.

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by parvus »

Dow 19,500
TSX 15,000
Gold 1350
OIL 50
CAD 75 cents

Not a whole lot of thought or analysis here except for oil and how it has a knock-on effect.
Wovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen — a wit
Imagefiniki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics
Image
User avatar
mrPPincer
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 52
Joined: 20 Dec 2014 18:54

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by mrPPincer »

Ok, here goes..

DOW: 19,200
TSX: 15,800
Gold: 1,187
Oil: 59.80
CAD: 0.8417

Thanks Keith for running this year after year, it's always fun.
User avatar
CROCKD
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 3343
Joined: 15 Aug 2008 16:59
Location: GTA

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by CROCKD »

DOW: 19100
TSX: 15200
GOLD: 1250
WTI: 70
CAD: 0.81
" A verbal contract isn't worth the paper it is written on " Samuel Goldwyn
"The light at the end of the tunnel may be a freight train coming your way" Metallica - No Leaf Clover
Spudd
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1518
Joined: 22 Sep 2013 14:52

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by Spudd »

DOW: 15531
TSX: 14137
GOLD: 1013
WTI: 61
CAD: 0.87
User avatar
poedin
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 2614
Joined: 27 Nov 2008 13:20

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by poedin »

DOW: 16242
TSX: 12448
GOLD: 1459
OIL: 42.58
CAD: .8006
Irwin
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 177
Joined: 10 Apr 2014 08:31

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by Irwin »

DOW: 14,800
TSX: 13,400
GOLD: 1,585
OIL: 77.50
CAD: 0.9030
Shine
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 2022
Joined: 13 Dec 2010 01:32

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by Shine »

Dow: 19412
TSX: 17291
Gold: 1292
Oil: 69.7
CAD: 0.89

What precision!

(Edited to take out spaces)
User avatar
optionable68
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1919
Joined: 19 Feb 2005 18:47
Location: GTA

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by optionable68 »

oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours :(
3-time winner of FWF Annual Stock Market Predictions contest
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

optionable68 wrote:oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours :(
I will extend the deadline to today at noon. Normally I put out reminders but I forgot this year! :oops:
DOW: 18,800
TSX: 14,000
Gold: 1,300
OIL: 90
CAD: .88
For the fun of it...Keith
User avatar
optionable68
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1919
Joined: 19 Feb 2005 18:47
Location: GTA

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by optionable68 »

kcowan wrote:
optionable68 wrote:oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours :(
I will extend the deadline to today at noon. Normally I put out reminders but I forgot this year! :oops:
kcowan, I just picked up your PM, thank you so much (not that 1 day will make any difference :rofl: )

DOW: 17500
TSX: 13700
GOLD: 1270
OIL: 38.99
CAD: 74
3-time winner of FWF Annual Stock Market Predictions contest
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

Here are the contenders for 2015. Pls check your content for accuracy.

Source

(Please post the image as it will not allow a mere mortal to post a 600 pixel high image. Thanks Lady Geek. Nice to see the first place position!)
Last edited by kcowan on 16 Jan 2015 08:37, edited 1 time in total.
For the fun of it...Keith
User avatar
LadyGeek
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1975
Joined: 26 Oct 2011 16:51
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Contact:

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by LadyGeek »

The image is hosed - everything below kenwood is corrupted. OTOH, I'm in the lead.

Can you scale the image to be less than 600 px high?
Imagefiniki, the Canadian financial wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

I will try again. Must be a problem on my computer. Thanks.

OK it is scaled to 600 pixels high by 517 pixels wide and the hosting service was exceeded mid-picture. Please post for me. Thanks.
For the fun of it...Keith
User avatar
LadyGeek
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 1975
Joined: 26 Oct 2011 16:51
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Contact:

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by LadyGeek »

Here it is (embedded image). Click on the link to view the image directly.

Image
Imagefiniki, the Canadian financial wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

rokman is the early leader.
For the fun of it...Keith
User avatar
mrPPincer
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 52
Joined: 20 Dec 2014 18:54

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by mrPPincer »

I see nile's TSX number is missing a zero, should be 16000, not 1600
User avatar
poedin
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 2614
Joined: 27 Nov 2008 13:20

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by poedin »

mrPPincer wrote:I see nile's TSX number is missing a zero, should be 16000, not 1600
Maybe nile knows something we don't :P
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

Thanks. Fixed. Did not change the standings.
For the fun of it...Keith
rokman
Contributor
Contributor
Posts: 13
Joined: 15 Dec 2014 06:42

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by rokman »

kcowan wrote:rokman is the early leader.
Groovy :)
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

parvus takes over!
For the fun of it...Keith
User avatar
parvus
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 10014
Joined: 20 Feb 2005 16:09
Location: Waiting for the real estate meltdown on Rua Açores.

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by parvus »

That will end badly.

Image
Wovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen — a wit
Imagefiniki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics
Image
User avatar
kcowan
Veteran Contributor
Veteran Contributor
Posts: 16033
Joined: 18 Apr 2006 20:33
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49

Re: 2015 predictions contest

Post by kcowan »

rokman again in the lead
For the fun of it...Keith
Locked