2015 predictions contest
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 19,600
TSX: 15,300
Gold: 1,250
OIL: 66
CAD: 84
TSX: 15,300
Gold: 1,250
OIL: 66
CAD: 84
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Like others above, I've spent some decades doing various forecasts, ranging from wet-finger estimates to parametric cases based on statistical analysis of large volumes of rolled-up atomic data. Just like this fun contest, they've been useful in forcing individuals and organizations to commit to some baseline and to review assumptions. And just like this contest, they have sometimes proven to be humbling experiences, with some learning attached....so in that spirit, onward with my 2015 numbers!
Dow: 16100
TSX: 14300
Gold: 1230
Oil: 74
Cad: 0.79
Dow: 16100
TSX: 14300
Gold: 1230
Oil: 74
Cad: 0.79
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 20107
TSX: 17251
GOLD: 1319
OIL: 74
CAD: .87
A good exercise last year to convince me to stay the passive ETF course! Thanks for the amusement.
TSX: 17251
GOLD: 1319
OIL: 74
CAD: .87
A good exercise last year to convince me to stay the passive ETF course! Thanks for the amusement.
- parvus
- Veteran Contributor
- Posts: 10014
- Joined: 20 Feb 2005 16:09
- Location: Waiting for the real estate meltdown on Rua Açores.
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Dow 19,500
TSX 15,000
Gold 1350
OIL 50
CAD 75 cents
Not a whole lot of thought or analysis here except for oil and how it has a knock-on effect.
TSX 15,000
Gold 1350
OIL 50
CAD 75 cents
Not a whole lot of thought or analysis here except for oil and how it has a knock-on effect.
Wovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen — a wit
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Ok, here goes..
DOW: 19,200
TSX: 15,800
Gold: 1,187
Oil: 59.80
CAD: 0.8417
Thanks Keith for running this year after year, it's always fun.
DOW: 19,200
TSX: 15,800
Gold: 1,187
Oil: 59.80
CAD: 0.8417
Thanks Keith for running this year after year, it's always fun.
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 19100
TSX: 15200
GOLD: 1250
WTI: 70
CAD: 0.81
TSX: 15200
GOLD: 1250
WTI: 70
CAD: 0.81
" A verbal contract isn't worth the paper it is written on " Samuel Goldwyn
"The light at the end of the tunnel may be a freight train coming your way" Metallica - No Leaf Clover
"The light at the end of the tunnel may be a freight train coming your way" Metallica - No Leaf Clover
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 15531
TSX: 14137
GOLD: 1013
WTI: 61
CAD: 0.87
TSX: 14137
GOLD: 1013
WTI: 61
CAD: 0.87
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 16242
TSX: 12448
GOLD: 1459
OIL: 42.58
CAD: .8006
TSX: 12448
GOLD: 1459
OIL: 42.58
CAD: .8006
Re: 2015 predictions contest
DOW: 14,800
TSX: 13,400
GOLD: 1,585
OIL: 77.50
CAD: 0.9030
TSX: 13,400
GOLD: 1,585
OIL: 77.50
CAD: 0.9030
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Dow: 19412
TSX: 17291
Gold: 1292
Oil: 69.7
CAD: 0.89
What precision!
(Edited to take out spaces)
TSX: 17291
Gold: 1292
Oil: 69.7
CAD: 0.89
What precision!
(Edited to take out spaces)
- optionable68
- Veteran Contributor
- Posts: 1919
- Joined: 19 Feb 2005 18:47
- Location: GTA
Re: 2015 predictions contest
oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours
3-time winner of FWF Annual Stock Market Predictions contest
Re: 2015 predictions contest
I will extend the deadline to today at noon. Normally I put out reminders but I forgot this year!optionable68 wrote:oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours
DOW: 18,800
TSX: 14,000
Gold: 1,300
OIL: 90
CAD: .88
For the fun of it...Keith
- optionable68
- Veteran Contributor
- Posts: 1919
- Joined: 19 Feb 2005 18:47
- Location: GTA
Re: 2015 predictions contest
kcowan, I just picked up your PM, thank you so much (not that 1 day will make any difference )kcowan wrote:I will extend the deadline to today at noon. Normally I put out reminders but I forgot this year!optionable68 wrote:oh shoot, missed the deadline by a few hours
DOW: 17500
TSX: 13700
GOLD: 1270
OIL: 38.99
CAD: 74
3-time winner of FWF Annual Stock Market Predictions contest
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Here are the contenders for 2015. Pls check your content for accuracy.
Source
(Please post the image as it will not allow a mere mortal to post a 600 pixel high image. Thanks Lady Geek. Nice to see the first place position!)
Source
(Please post the image as it will not allow a mere mortal to post a 600 pixel high image. Thanks Lady Geek. Nice to see the first place position!)
Last edited by kcowan on 16 Jan 2015 08:37, edited 1 time in total.
For the fun of it...Keith
- LadyGeek
- Veteran Contributor
- Posts: 1975
- Joined: 26 Oct 2011 16:51
- Location: Philadelphia, PA
- Contact:
Re: 2015 predictions contest
The image is hosed - everything below kenwood is corrupted. OTOH, I'm in the lead.
Can you scale the image to be less than 600 px high?
Can you scale the image to be less than 600 px high?
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
Re: 2015 predictions contest
I will try again. Must be a problem on my computer. Thanks.
OK it is scaled to 600 pixels high by 517 pixels wide and the hosting service was exceeded mid-picture. Please post for me. Thanks.
OK it is scaled to 600 pixels high by 517 pixels wide and the hosting service was exceeded mid-picture. Please post for me. Thanks.
For the fun of it...Keith
- LadyGeek
- Veteran Contributor
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- Joined: 26 Oct 2011 16:51
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- Contact:
Re: 2015 predictions contest
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
Re: 2015 predictions contest
I see nile's TSX number is missing a zero, should be 16000, not 1600
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Maybe nile knows something we don'tmrPPincer wrote:I see nile's TSX number is missing a zero, should be 16000, not 1600
Re: 2015 predictions contest
Groovykcowan wrote:rokman is the early leader.
- parvus
- Veteran Contributor
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- Joined: 20 Feb 2005 16:09
- Location: Waiting for the real estate meltdown on Rua Açores.
Re: 2015 predictions contest
That will end badly.
Wovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen — a wit
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics
finiki, the Canadian financial wiki Your go-to guide for financial basics